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  Quotations - Invest  
[Quote No.26783] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In order to understand if the market is fair value or not it's worth remembering what interest rate you can get for a perfectly safe investment at the bank, especially if interest rates are rising. You should hope to get that plus a couple more percentage points for the added risk because the share market goes down as well as up. So if the bank rate is 6 percent plus 2 percent means that you should hope for 8 percent. To equate this yield [earnings divided by price - e/p] flip and divide the price by the earnings - p/e and compare this with the average market p/e. For our 8 percent example this would be a pe of 12.5. If the market pe is above this, say 17, you have a rough guide as to how overvalued the market is and you should keep this in mind when deciding where to invest." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26784] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[CEOs and company executives are paid by shareholders to do the best they can for the company's sales and share price. Therefore you should take every thing they say with this in mind. They are especially concerned that they may make a comment that could drive sales and the share price down especially unfairly as implied in the following quote.] You hear all of the pundits saying that the world is going to go to a trash basket, and you worry — it may be a self-fulfilling prophecy." - Paul Otellini
CEO of Intel
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[Quote No.26793] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Statistics are like a Bikini; what is revealed is suggestive, but what is concealed is vital." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26794] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I'm growing increasingly uneasy watching short-term rates in the U.S. fall when we're so dependent on foreign money to cover our [U.S.] trade deficit and the U.S. budget deficit...There are already worrying signs that foreigners, who keep score in their home currencies, have grown tired of losing money because the value of the dollar's dropping...Because of its budget and trade deficits, the U.S. has to worry about what the rest of the world thinks. That's what happens when you're a debtor nation. There are huge risks in cutting short [term interest] rates, and risks, too, in having Uncle Sam borrow [by issuing and selling more Government Bonds] another $150 billion to $200 billion (primarily from foreigners) to finance a short-term stimulus package." - Allan Sloan
Senior editor-at-large of 'Fortune' magazine and considered one of the 100 most influential business journalists in the United States, according to NewsBios. Formerly Wall Street Editor at 'Newsweek' magazine.
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[Quote No.26803] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The foundations of great fortunes - whether in stocks or real estate - are laid in bear markets, when real investors have the courage and patience to buy low and hang on." - Knight Kiplinger
One of America’s most respected economic journalists and business forecasters, writer of the famed 'Kiplinger Letter' and editor-in-chief of the 'Kiplinger's Personal Finance' magazine.
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[Quote No.26804] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Question public euphoria and pessimism, because neither lasts forever." - Knight Kiplinger
American financial journalist and business forecaster who is editor in chief of 'The Kiplinger Letter' and 'Kiplinger's Personal Finance' magazine.
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[Quote No.26821] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When the U.S. sneezes, the world catches a cold." - Share Market Axiom

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[Quote No.26822] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Generally, what we do here [regarding thoroughbred horse sales, etc] will follow the stockmarket, but not exactly." - Mark Webster
Managing Director, William Inglis & Son Ltd, [Australian thoroughbred horse] Bloodstock Agents and Auctioneers since 1867.
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[Quote No.26823] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Boom - bust cycles usually occur as a result of a failure to recognise the 'reflexive' connection between the willingness to lend and the value of the collateral. In the case of this crisis [2007-8 in the USA], easy credit generated demand that pushed up property prices, which in turn, increased the amount of credit available. The boom was soon feeding itself. [creating an asset bubble]" - George Soros
International financier, billionaire investor, philanthropist, and the founder of the Quantum [hedge] Fund.
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[Quote No.26828] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If it is a bear market, it is quite normal to have [drops followed by] quite sharp rallies. These bounces can be quite sharp - five to 10 per cent - then the downturn resumes again. [producing a chart with progressively lower highs and then lower lows.]" - Shane Oliver
AMP [Australian Mutual Provident] Capital Investors chief economist.
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[Quote No.26829] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Share market floats [IPO's - initial public offerings] usually fall off in periods of market weakness fearing poor support from the share buying public. The floats are usually postponed until the liklihood of good uptake and rising initial prices are stronger reducing the underwriter's risk of loss. Because of this the number of floats can be used to help judge the strength or weakness of the market in the near future." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26830] Need Area: Money > Invest
"You want to invest in times of pessimism. Not because you like pessimism, but because you like the prices it produces. Optimism is the enemy of the rational buyer." - Christopher Davis
Portfolio Manager of the Davis Large Cap Value fund with over 18 years experience in investment management and securities research.
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[Quote No.26836] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Emotions have taught mankind to reason. [especially where investments are concerned.]" - Marquis De Vauvenargues

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[Quote No.26849] Need Area: Money > Invest
"At the bottom and top of markets the charts can become 'volatile' as the market is uncertain if it will go higher or lower...if bulls [up] or bears [down] will win. As the market starts to climb, commentators will talk of investors 'climbing a wall of worry' as to whether this is the beginning of a sustainable rise...a bull market! A bull market can be defined as when the chart of the market goes up and down with ever higher highs and higher lows, where brokers and investors 'take profits with the rises [called 'profit taking' or 'corrections']' and then 'buy on the dips'. This leads to increasing numbers of IPO's [Initial Public Offerings]. As the market grows strongly, the market will stop worrying and after some time the number of takeovers will increase especially those involving shares rather than cash. As capacity constraints start to raise inflation, gold will rise, as will the prices of oil and metals, and the central bank will raise interest rates to slow the economy. Eventually this will effect borrowing resulting in drops in consumer spending and business investment and the market will become more volatile as the market becomes uncertain if it will go higher or lower...if bulls [up] or bears [down] will win. At some point the market will top out and a bear market will begin. A bear market is defined as when the chart of the market goes up and down with ever lower highs and lower lows, where brokers and investors 'sell into the rallies' because they expect the market to go lower. Many of the rallies are caused by short sellers having to [buy to] cover their shorts if there is some good news that encourages others to buy and drive up prices. These are called 'short covering rallies'. Some dips can be severe if the fall is greater than ten percent and trigger brokers making margin calls requiring those investors using margin to either put up more collateral for their debt funded investments or they have their shares sold into the falling market crystalising their losses and driving the market still lower. Often gold is sold off at these times in order to raise the money to pay these margin calls or to recapitalise share portfolio asset allocations. In the press, some commentators will say the market has been oversold and that now there are good buys but this can sometimes just encourage buying when the market is going to fall still further in what are called 'sucker's rallies', 'dead cat bounces' or 'perma-bull traps'. Most commentators will be careful not to state the market will get worse for fear of making a self-fulfilling prophecy. Any talk of recessions will lower the price of the hard commodities of oil and metals as the demand for these is then anticipated to drop. The number of IPO's [Initial Public Offerings] will fall as they are delayed until market sentiment is better. As inflation lowers the central bank will reduce interest rates and the government will initiate spending that stimulates the economy and the market bull-bear cycle eventually starts again." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26853] Need Area: Money > Invest
"It's not the bulls and bears you need to avoid - it's the bum steers." - Chuck Hillis

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[Quote No.26854] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Bulls and bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered. [which is helpful to remember when trying to decide whether to sell or not after got a good profit]" - share market saying

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[Quote No.26918] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When arranging a real estate home loan it is important to ensure that even if the variable interest rate were to rise by several interest points that your loan re-payments would not go above 30 per cent of your income which is technically called mortgage stress and is often the beginning of serious financial problems including loan arrears and eventual bank foreclosure." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26919] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Remember the old expression: 'Dr. Copper is the best economist in the world'. [because copper price movements indicate global demand and growth quite accurately]" - Jim Rogers
Highly respected commodity investor and forecaster and George Soros's original partner in the incredibly successful Quantum Fund
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[Quote No.26920] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If you just go back and look at other bear markets, investment bank stocks have gone down enormously." - Jim Rogers
Highly respected commodity investor and forecaster and one-time partner with George Soros in the incredibly successful Quantum Fund.
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[Quote No.26922] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Economics exists to make astrology look respectable." - John Kenneth Galbraith
Professor of Economics at Harvard University, US Ambassador to India, best selling author
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[Quote No.26923] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If you spend 13 minutes a year on economics [forecasting the future], you've wasted 10 minutes." - Peter Lynch
(1944 - ), Famous share investor and one of the most successful fund managers in history while in charge of the Fidelity Magellan fund between 1977 and 1990. He is currently a research consultant at Fidelity Investments.
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[Quote No.26930] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Fortune truly helps those who are of good judgment." - Euripides

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[Quote No.26943] Need Area: Money > Invest
"One of the indicators that a central bank uses to confirm that its tightening of monetary policy [raising interest rates] is working to dampen inflation due to a booming economy and stock market, is rising unemployment [and the reduction in the number of jobs created and advertised]. Because employment figures are a lagging economic indicator, when they start registering a rise in unemployment [and falling inflation as registered by a number of lower quarterly Consumer Price Index figures], the central bank may start lowering the interest rate, which can signify the start of a rising share market and an improving economy and therefore possibly a good time to buy more shares." - Unknown

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[Quote No.26944] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Insanity in individuals is something rare, but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs it is the rule." - Friedrich Nietzsche

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[Quote No.26946] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs...[there's a good chance you will make a successful investor, by not buying overpriced shares in a boom when everyone is buying, but rather buying shares of good companies in a bust when everyone else is selling them cheaply.]" - Rudyard Kipling
From lyrics of his poem, ‘If’
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[Quote No.26952] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...stock value in aggregate can become irrationally high is contrary to the hard-form ‘efficient market’ theory that many of you once learned as gospel from your mistaken professors of yore. Your mistaken professors were too much influenced by ‘rational man’ models of human behaviour from economics and too little by ‘foolish man’ models from psychology and real-world experience." - Charlie Munger
Warren Buffett's partner at Berkshire Hathaway and a master investor in his own right.
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[Quote No.26953] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...our [US] trade deficit has greatly worsened, to the point that our country’s ‘net worth,’ so to speak, is now being transferred abroad at an alarming rate. A perpetuation of this transfer will lead to major trouble." - Warren Buffet
Famous share investor
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[Quote No.26997] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When considering boom and bust cycles, it is useful to remember that ‘The Roaring Twenties’ were followed by ‘The Great Depression’. This supports the view that most economies and markets revert to the mean eventually." - Seymour@imagi-natives.com

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[Quote No.27021] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I always thought that decoupling was a myth. What happens in any country, that's a major country, impacts what happens in the rest of the world. [If any large country, not just the United States, gets a cold everyone sneezes, in our ever-increasingly integrated global economy.]" - Henry Paulson
US Treasury Secretary, in a statement on Saturday, 9th February, 2008, after a meeting in Tokyo of finance ministers and central bankers from Group of Seven nations [G7].
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[Quote No.27027] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Investing requires you to make decisions using data from the past and hunches about the present about risks and rewards you will harvest in the future – filling you with feelings like hope, greed, cockiness, surprise, fear, panic...the succession of emotions that most people pass through on the psychological roller coaster of investing [as the market moves through the economic cycle going up in a boom and then down in a bust as it reverts to, or more accurately vacillates around, the mean.]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27028] Need Area: Money > Invest
"People don’t need extraordinary insight or intelligence. What they need most is the character to adopt simple rules and stick to them." - Benjamin Graham
Famous share investor
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[Quote No.27030] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Luck is when preparation meets opportunity:] Warren Buffett read the annual report of Anheuser-Busch every year for twenty-five years, familiarizing himself with the company while he patiently waited for the stock to become cheap enough for him to want to own it. Finally, in early 2005, the stock dropped – and Buffett, who now knew the business intimately, snapped up a major stake in Anheuser-Busch." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27031] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[When you become interested in a company ask yourself these questions amongst others:] Do I understand this company’s products and services?...What will make this enterprise more valuable in the future? Did I read the company’s financial statements, including the ‘statement of risk factors’ and the footnotes (where the weaknesses are often revealed)?...Ask who this company’s main competitors are and whether they are becoming weaker or stronger; think about whether the company’s customers would take their business elsewhere if it raised the prices of its goods or services;...Write down three reasons – having nothing to do with the stock price – why you want to be an owner of this business; Remember that you cannot buy a stock unless someone else is willing to sell it. What, exactly, do you know that this other person may have overlooked?" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27032] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Before investing in any stock] My first question, and the last question, would be, ‘Do I understand the business?’ And by understand it, I mean have a reasonably good idea of what it will look like in five or ten years from an economic standpoint. [If an investor isn't comfortable answering that basic question, they shouldn’t buy the stock.]" - Warren Buffett
Famous share investor
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[Quote No.27033] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Another simple and powerful way to control your cues is to write a checklist of standards that every investment must meet before you buy or sell it. [An Investment Policy Statement that spells out your investment goals, methods, policies and procedures in advance.] Each year’s annual report for Berkshire Hathaway Inc. includes a list of six ‘acquisition criteria’ showing the standards that chairman Warren buffet and vice chairman Charles Munger apply to any business they consider buying. Make sure your list checklist includes some things you don’t want to take into consideration, so that you can quickly rule out many of the bad ideas that might otherwise tempt you...[Remember] The best investors make a habit of putting procedures in place, in advance, that help inhibit the hot reactions of the emotional brain." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27034] Need Area: Money > Invest
"You have no control over whether the stocks or funds you pick will earn higher than average returns, but you can control your expectations, by setting realistic goals for future performance based on past evidence. If, for example, you think you can earn more than an average 10 percent a year from U.S. stocks, you’re kidding yourself – and setting yourself up for almost guaranteed disappointment. [For while for short times the market may rise or fall more than this in the long run it reverts to this mean, which for Standard and Poor’s 500 index of blue-chip U.S. stocks is 10.4 percent annually since 1926.]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27036] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Never confuse brains with a bull market. [Any advisor can look wise for a while when most investments are going up which is a definition of a bull market]" - Stock Market Axiom

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[Quote No.27038] Need Area: Money > Invest
"What counts for most people in investing is not how much they know, but rather how realistically they define what they don’t know. An investor needs to do very few things right as long as he or she avoids big mistakes...We have a ton of doubt on all kinds of things and we just forget about those [investments]...what Charlie Munger calls the ‘too hard’ pile, where we put things we don’t know how to evaluate. " - Warren Buffet
Famous share investor
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[Quote No.27039] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[When evaluating a company to decide if you want to invest in its shares] Don't be satisfied with answers you don't understand." - Christopher Davis
He oversees more than $60 billion in mutual funds at Davis Selected Advisors in New York.
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[Quote No.27040] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Asking ‘Why?’ four or five times is a good way to test the limits of your own (or someone else’s) knowledge...People [for example advisors] who don’t really know what they are talking about can rarely answer ‘why?’ more than twice. If you can’t either, that’s a signal that you don’t yet have enough knowledge to make an informed decision. Smart investors know that it’s often a good idea to act like a four-year-old. [and keep asking ‘Why?’]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27042] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Every novice investor should study enough financial history to know that booms always end in busts [and vice versa so reverting to the mean]...(Two good books are Edward Chancellor’s ‘Devil Take the Hindmost’ and Charles P. Kindleberger’s ‘Manias, Panics, and Crashes’.)" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27043] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Buying a stock without first calculating the value of the underlying business is as irresponsible as buying a house without ever setting foot inside." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27044] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Make a rule: Whenever an investment doubles in price, find out who has the most negative view of it and give this devil’s advocate a full hearing. Read or listen to the critique, take careful notes, then factor the devil’s advocacy into a fresh comparison of price and value. If the price no longer makes sense, it’s time to sell." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27045] Need Area: Money > Invest
"To make reliably good decisions, you must always weigh how right you think you are against how sorry you will be if you turn out to be mistaken. [Remembering that losing money feels twice as painful as gaining the same amount feels good.]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27047] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Many of the world’s best investors have mastered the art of treating their own feelings as reverse indicators: Excitement becomes a cue that it’s time to consider selling, while fear tells them that it may be time to buy. [One of famously successful investor, Warren Buffett’s most famous quotes states something similar; ‘We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.’]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27049] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Wisdom should reckon on the unforeseen. [...both good and bad. - Expect the unexpected]" - G. K. Chesterton

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[Quote No.27050] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Counting the winners and skipping the losers can even distort numbers that are taken as gospel truth by investors. It’s almost universally claimed that since 1802, U.S. stocks have returned an average of 7 percent after inflation. What no one ever tells you is that the reported track record of U.S. stocks in the early 19th century includes just a tiny fraction of all the companies then in existence. The only stocks included are the winners. Hundreds of companies, in such doomed industries as canals, wooden turnpikes, the pony express, and bird-manure fertilizer, went broke and took their investors with them. If these losers were included in the track record, the average performance of stocks in the early years would drop by roughly two percentage points annually. That doesn’t mean that stocks aren’t worth owning today, but it does mean that their out performance is not a certainty – so diversifying with bonds and cash is a necessity. Anyone who claims that history ‘proves’ that young people should put all of their money in stocks doesn’t know much about history. The technical term for counting the winners and dropping the losers is ‘survivorship bias’ (because the resulting averages are biased by the success of the surviving companies). Whenever anyone tries to sell you an investment based on long-term ‘average’ performance, ask whether the average has been adjusted for survivorship bias. If the person doesn’t know what you mean or cannot clearly explain the result, hang on to your wallet." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27051] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Does investing have its own design constraints? Of course it does. From the beginning of 2003 through the end of 2005, emerging markets gained an average of 36.s percent annually. But decades – in fact centuries – of history show that economic growth of greater than 2.5 to 3.5 percent, after inflation, is not sustainable. In the short run, stock markets can perform better than the economies they represent and the companies that make them up. In the long run, it’s impossible. A period of unusually high returns must be followed by more normal returns. That’s why the Japanese stock market, after its record-setting returns in the 1970’s and 1980’s, lost roughly two-thirds of its value in the 1990’s. It’s why the U.S., after the boom of the late 1990’s, suffered the bust of 2000 to 2002 and its why emerging markets, after scorching gains, were not a good choice to throw money at in early 2006. At that point, the only question was not whether they would lose money, but when...The pursuit of extreme growth carries with it the seeds of its own destruction. As Warren buffet quips, ‘Nothing recedes like success.’ That brings us to Murphy’s Law of Investing: Sooner or later, a stock or fund return much higher than average almost always fades back toward average. By the same token, a badly below-average return is also liable to reverse. This tendency for trends to flip with the passage of time is called ‘regression to the mean.’ Without it, giraffes would get taller with each passing generation until their hearts and hips burst under the strain. Big oak trees would drop bigger acorns, yielding larger and larger saplings until full-grown trees collapsed of their own height and weight. Tall people would always have even taller offspring, and so would their kids, and so on, until no one could get through a nine-foot-tall doorway without ducking. (And...they could crack their heads open if they fell.) Regression to the mean is nature’s way of levelling the playing field, in almost every game, including investing. So, whenever you gamble that a very high (or low) investment return will continue, the odds are overwhelmingly against you. [Wise investors should bet on regression to the mean rather than against it. If a market is well below its mean there is a good chance it will boom to get back to its mean. Unfortunately it often overshoots above that mean to become overvalued through irrational optimism. Then there is a good chance it will bust to get back to that mean. Unfortunately it often then overshoots below that mean to become undervalued again through unjustified pessimism. This reversion to mean and overshooting behaviour of markets allows very wise value investors to buy when low – below the mean and undervalued - and sell when high – above the mean and overvalued - and repeat this ad infinitum to consistently beat the market averages.]" - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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[Quote No.27052] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The more you automate your investing [through following policies and procedures you have established earlier], the easier it should be to control your emotions." - Thomas Gilovich
(1954 - ), a professor of psychology at Cornell University who has extensively researched decision making and behavioral economics.
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[Quote No.27061] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If it sounds too good to be true, it definitely is. Anyone who offers high return at low risk in a short time is probably a fraud. Anyone who listens is definitely a fool." - Jason Zweig
senior writer for ‘Money’ magazine and editor of the revised edition of Benjamin Graham’s best-selling ‘The Intelligent Investor’. From his book, ‘Your Money and Your Brain – Become a smarter investor, the neuroscience way’.
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