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  Quotations - Invest  
[Quote No.53653] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Surplus wealth is a sacred trust which its possessor is bound to administer in his lifetime for the good of the community!" - Andrew Carnegie

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[Quote No.53718] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Be skeptical:] ...if nine intelligence [or investment] analysts came to the same conclusion, it was the duty of the tenth to disagree. [This is 'the 10th person principle'; namely if ten people are in a room, and nine agree on how to interpret and respond to a situation, the tenth man must disagree. His duty is to find the best possible argument for why the decision of the group is flawed. This is to avoid group-thinking and the herd mentality and shared assumptions where we all 'assume' the same things eventually making an 'ass' out of 'u' and 'me'.]" - Max Brooks
Author of 'World War Z'.
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[Quote No.53843] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Fundamental value investing:] It's waiting that helps you as an investor, and a lot of people just can't stand to wait. If you didn't get the deferred-gratification gene, you've got to work very hard to overcome that." - Charlie Munger
Lawyer, very successful value investor, philanthropist and vice chairman of Warren Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway.
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[Quote No.53844] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Someone will always be getting richer faster than you. This is not a tragedy." - Charlie Munger
Lawyer, very successful value investor, philanthropist and vice chairman of Warren Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway
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[Quote No.53858] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Fundamental, value investing:] Rough diamonds may sometimes be mistaken for worthless pebbles." - Thomas Browne
English author
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[Quote No.53905] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Life [and investing] is not always a matter of holding good cards, but sometimes, playing a poor hand well. " - Jack London

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[Quote No.53907] Need Area: Money > Invest
"We should manage our fortune as we do our health: enjoy it when good, be patient when it is bad, and never apply violent remedies except in an extreme necessity." - Francois Duc de La Rochefoucauld
(1613 - 1680)
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[Quote No.54086] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In tennis, you strike a ball just after the rebound for the fastest return. It's the same with investment." - Masayoshi Son
Japanese investor, businessman and the founder and chief executive officer of SoftBank, the chief executive officer of SoftBank Mobile, and chairman of Sprint Corporation.
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[Quote No.54368] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[A story - with a message about always think about dangers and risks as well as rewards when you are planning anything:-] 'THINK TWICE BEFORE YOU ACT' Once upon a time there lived two frogs in a marsh. They were very happy with their lot there. But as the hot summer approached the marsh began to dry up. In a few days, the marsh got totally dry. So, the frogs decided to leave that place and look for some other shelter for themselves. Eventually they found a deep well. They sat on its edge and peered inside. It had a lot of water in it. The younger of the two frogs got so overjoyed to see the water that it at once said, ‘This well looks like a perfect place for us to live. It will be cool and safe inside. Let's jump in?’ The other frog was old and wise and replied, ‘Not so soon, my friend. We left the marsh when it had dried up. So, first let us think how we shall get out of this well if it too becomes dry. The first frog was speechless, realizing how close they had come to making a mistake. He thanked the older, wiser frog for this lesson in thinking ahead and looking for dangers as well as pleasures." - Unknown

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[Quote No.54382] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[PARODY SONG LYRICS:]

- The Day The NASDAQ Died:-

'Humble Pie' (sung to the tune of Don Mclean's 'American Pie')

A long, long week ago
I can still remember how the market used to make me smile
What I'd do when I had the chance
Is get myself a cash advance
And add another tech stock to the pile.

But Alan Greenspan made me shiver
With every speech that he delivered
Bad news on the rate front
Still I'd take one more punt

I can't remember if I cried
When I heard about the CPI
I lost my fortune and my pride
The day the NASDAQ died

So bye-bye to my piece of the pie
I poured my paycheck into Datek
Now my cash account's dry
It's just two weeks from a new all-time high
And now we're right back where we were in July
We're right back where we were in July

Did you buy stocks you never heard of?
Q COM at 150 or above?
'Cos your plumber told you so
Now do you believe in Home Depot?
Can Wal-Mart save your portfolio?
And can you teach me what's a P/E ratio?

Well, I know that you were leveraged too
So you can't just take a long-term view
Your broker shut you down
No more margin could be found

I never worried on the whole way up
Buying dot coms from the back of a pickup truck
But Friday I ran out of luck
It was the day the NAAAASDAQ died

I started singin'
Bye-bye to my piece of the pie
I poured my paycheck into Datek
Now my cash account's dry
It's just two weeks from a new all-time high
And now we're right back where we were in July
Yeah we're right back where we were in July

Now for ten days, we've been on our own
And E-trade won't pick up the phone
But that's not how it used to be
When investors snapped up EMC
With cash they borrowed easily
And a quote that flashed up permanently green

Oh, and just as things were turning 'round
Joel Klein slapped Mister Softee down
The courtroom was adjourned
A guilty verdict was returned
And while Gilder read a book on quarks
Buffet smirked and Greenspan barked
The bulls were eaten by the sharks
The day, the NASDAQ died

I started singin' ...

Manic panic, it's just like the Titanic
Unsinkable and now under the Atlantic
We're at four thou and falling fast
All at once the bottom-fishers pounced
But that just caused a dead-cat bounce
'Cos Mister Softee, from the sidelines, preannounced

Now the graph-lines showed complete collapse
While the margin calls were coming fast
We all were forced to sell
Our Apple, E-Bay and Intel
Then the bear funds moved to take the field
And the long bond shed a point of yield
Was Glass-Steagall ever really repealed?
The day, the NASDAQ day

We started singing...

Oh, and suddenly we're underwater
Millionaires all hot and bothered
With no cash left to buy again
So come on, Fed be anxious, com-pen-sate
By lowering the discount rate
'Cause easy money is a bubble's only friend

Oh, and as I watched the index fall
I received the dreaded margin call
No broker born in hell
Could make me want to sell
But as my gains fell fast into the crash
E-Trade began demanding cash
The talking heads were talking trash
The day, the NASDAQ died

They were singing...

I met an analyst for Micromuse
I asked him for their earnings news
But he just smiled and turned away
I logged on to the trading floor
Where I made my fortune weeks before
But they demanded to see cash before I played

And on T.V. the ticker streamed
Kudlow cried and Barton dreamed
Not a bullish word was spoken
The day-traders were choking

And the three stocks I acquired last
AMAT, Dell and Infocast
Couldn't catch a bid and faded fast
The day, the NASDAQ died

And they were singing....
Bye-bye to my piece of the pie
I poured my paycheck into Datek
Now my cash account's dry
It's just two weeks from a new all-time high
And now we're right back where we were in July
Yeah we're right back where we were in July

" - Sean Brady and Tom Kearney
Copyright 2000: Sean Brady and Tom Kearney. [http://www.itulip.com/NASDAQdied.htm ]
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[Quote No.54403] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Booms and busts are a part of any free market - especially one super-charged with the hope for instant riches. Gold rushes are one example. Another example that is very famous is the oil era, which began in 1859 in the obscure town of Titusville in north-western Pennsylvania, when 'Colonel' E.L. Drake and 'Uncle Billy' Smith successfully drilled the first oil well there:] Nothing revealed the feverish pitch of [oil] speculation better than the strange story of Pithole, on Pithole Creek, some fifteen miles from Titusville. A first well was struck in the dense forest land there in January 1865; by June there were four flowing wells, producing two thousand barrels a day -- one third of the total output of the Oil Regions -- and people fought their way in on the roads already clogged with the barrel-laden wagons. 'The whole place,' said one visitor, 'smells like a corps of soldiers when they have the diarrhea.' The land speculation seemed to know no bounds. One farm that had been virtually worthless a few months earlier was sold for $1.3 million in July 1865, and then resold for two million dollars in September. In that same month, production around Pithole Creek reached six thousand barrels per day -- two-thirds of all the production in the Oil Regions. And, by that same September, what had once been an unidentifiable spot in the wilderness had become a town of fifteen thousand people. The 'New York Herald' reported that the principal businesses of Pithole were 'liquor and leases'; and 'The Nation' added, 'It is safe to assert that there is more vile liquor drunk in this town than in any of its size in the world.' Yet Pithole was already on the road to respectability, with two banks, two telegraph offices, a newspaper, a waterworks, a fire company scores of boarding houses and businesses, more than fifty hotels -- at least three of which were up to elegant metropolitan standards -- and a post office that handled more than five thousand letters a day. But then, a couple of months later, the oil production abruptly gave out -- just as quickly as it had begun. To the people of Pithole, this was a calamity, like a biblical plague, and by January 1866, only a year from the first discovery, thousands had fled the town for new hopes and opportunities. The town that had sprung up overnight from the wilderness was totally deserted. Fires ravaged the buildings, and the wooden skeletons that were left were torn down to be used for building again elsewhere or burned as kindling by the farmers in the surrounding hills. Pithole returned to silence and to the wilderness. A parcel of land in Pithole that sold for $2 million in 1865 was auctioned for $4.37 in 1878." - Daniel Yergin
Quote from his book, 'The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money and Power', Page 31.
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[Quote No.54405] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Keeping a close eye on your financial affairs - your (assets and) income, taxes, savings, investments [for example your superannuation) and your spending (budgets, etc) - is a necessary success skill for the ordinary person as well as the very successful. The following four stories from the worlds of music, arts and entertainment should reinforce this need to take your financial responsibilities seriously - learn, be interested and put in the time and never, ever completely delegate these responsibilities:-]

1-Badfinger: Badfinger was an up and coming band from Great Britain. The Beatles got them on the map, but they were an extremely talented and driven band led by guitarist Pete Ham. Their manager, took all of their money and put them millions in the hole resulting in the suicide of Ham in 1975. The rest of the band tried to go on, but unfulfilled record contracts had them owing millions more. In 1983, Bass player, song writer, and vocalist Tom Evans also took his own life. A truly tragic story of financial treachery and mismanagement.

2-Billy Joel: In the words of Billy Joel, whose brother-in-law stole millions from him (Christy Brinkley's brother) ‘Hire an accountant and then hire a second accountant to watch the first accountant’. NEVER have any family member whatsoever do any of your finances whether you're rich and famous or just a common person. Have a separate bank account from your husband or wife and check your bank account every day!

3-Leonard Cohen: Leonard Cohen is an iconic and massively successful rocker through and through, but when he returned to the road in 1998 after a 15-year absence, he had little to show for it. After years of mishandling by his former manager, Kelley Lynch, Cohen had almost nothing in the bank for retirement. Cohen took her to court, but following a 2004 ruling that she repay $9.5 million in losses accrued, Lynch ignored the order. In 2008, financial desperation forced Cohen to mount his first world tour in nearly two decades. Five years later, he's still performing live -- at the age of 78.

4-Courtney Love: Courtney Love has probably never slept underneath a bridge, but Kurt Cobain's widow has claimed that somewhere in the vicinity of $530 million was somehow stolen from the vast fortune she inherited from the late Nirvana front-man's estate. ’I have never seen such greed and moral turpitude,’ said Love’s lawyer Rhonda J Holmes. ‘This case is going to make Bernard Madoff look warm and fuzzy.’ Things got so bad, in fact, that in 2010, Love was forced to borrow $2.75 million from her daughter Frances’ own trust fund -- or she could've ended up sleeping under a bridge.

" - Unknown
[http://diffuser.fm/rockers-that-went-broke/?ucr&trackback=tsmclip ]
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[Quote No.54533] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The market, by extrapolating from past success, believes the boom the most just before it busts, like a turkey believes the butcher loves it the most just before Thanksgiving:] A turkey is fed for a thousand days by a butcher; every day confirms to its staff of analysts that butchers love turkeys 'with increased statistical confidence.' The butcher will keep feeding the turkey until a few days before Thanksgiving. Then comes that day when it is really not a very good idea to be a turkey. So with the butcher surprising it, the turkey will have a revision of belief — right when its confidence in the statement that the butcher loves turkeys is maximal and 'it is very quiet' and soothingly predictable in the life of the turkey....The key here is that such a surprise will be a Black Swan ['impossible'-'six sigma'-'one in a thousand year'] event; but just for the turkey, not for the butcher.... 'Not being a turkey' starts with figuring out the difference between true and manufactured stability." - Nassim Taleb
Expert on risk management. From his book, 'Antifragile'.
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[Quote No.54601] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Economic and company indicators that help predict bull and bear markets:] ...the models have helped us to identify a set of macro and fundamental variables that we should monitor with a view to anticipating the coming of a bear market. Some of the key signals that are worth paying special attention to are:
•Increasing S&P 500 leverage
•Increase in various style returns
•Increasing oil prices
•Pickup in inflation
•Flattening of the yield curve [especially an inverted yield spread]
•Widening of junk spreads
•Tightening of loan standard to small firms
•Decrease in load demand from large/middle-market firms
•Shrinking S&P 500 profit margin
•Strengthening of U.S. dollar
•Decreasing industrial production
By systematically monitoring these signals, we can reduce the chance that the next bear market will catch us by surprise and possibly incorporate these probabilities into a systematic market forecasting strategy. These signals should not be a surprise anybody since all of them are popular Wall Street measures, and our contribution is to build a framework into which we can assign weights and importance to all this noise. The work is ongoing..." - Andrew Lapthorne and the SocGen Quant Strategy team
[Refer http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-12/socgen-tries-predict-when-next-us-bear-market-starts ]
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[Quote No.54605] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The best thing you can do for your portfolio is to quit benchmarking against a random market index that has absolutely nothing to do with your goals, risk tolerance or time horizon. Comparison in the financial arena is the main reason clients have trouble patiently sitting on their hands, letting whatever process they are comfortable with work for them. They get waylaid by some comparison along the way and lose their focus. If you tell a client that they made 12% on their account, they are very pleased. If you subsequently inform them that 'everyone else' made 14%, you have made them upset. The whole financial services industry, as it is constructed now, is predicated on making people upset so they will move their money around in a frenzy. Money in motion creates fees and commissions. The creation of more and more benchmarks and style boxes is nothing more than the creation of more things to COMPARE to, allowing clients to stay in a perpetual state of outrage. The only benchmark that matters to you is the annual return that is specifically required to obtain your retirement goal in the future. If that rate is 4%, then trying to obtain 6% more than doubles the risk you have to take to achieve that return. The end result of taking on more risk than necessary will be the deviation away from your goals when something inevitably goes wrong." - Lance Roberts
STA Wealth Management. [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-18/10-investment-quotes-live ]
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[Quote No.54621] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The carry trade is about borrowing in a currency that has lower rates than the country you invest the borrowed funds in so you can profit from the difference.] When you BORROW in US Dollars [and invest that somewhere outside the US] you are effectively SHORTING the US Dollar. So when the US Dollar rallies... [your profits - capital gains and difference between the interest rates - fall and can go negative losing money] you have to cover your SHORT or you blow up. [The banks, etc., that do these loans also are at risk since these loans can easily become delinquent and the collateral diminish in value quickly if the currency trade goes against them and this risk is not properly and sufficiently hedged by the lender or the borrower.]" - Phoenix Capital Research
[http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-19/central-banks-will-not-be-able-control ]
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[Quote No.54628] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Good and sound loans, by definition, result in commensurate GDP growth. So when private-loan growth outstrips GDP growth, much of that excess -- from one-quarter to one-half, based on evidence from other crises -- will be problem loans. ...Lending booms create the false appearance of prosperity, and fraud and corruption can make the picture even prettier [and at the height of the boom loan-loss provisions are always at, unrealistically, very low levels.]" - Richard Vague
Quote from his article, 'The Coming Crises in China', in 'Democracy: A Journal of Ideas', Spring 2015.
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[Quote No.54630] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Businesses will sometimes behave in ways that initially seem counter-productive. For example healthier companies may rush to overproduce, so their supply overwhelms the demand pushing prices lower. The deep logic of this counter-intuitive behaviour is that by doing this form of price competition the healthier companies hope to gain market share by putting marginal companies, and those which don't have access to cheap and easy funds, out of business by pricing them out of the market. Call it the Amazon.com effect. This is cut-throat business competition but it can be good for most customers in the short-term and the healthier companies in the long-term. The cost is most extreme for the less healthy companies' owners, lenders, employees and loyal customers in the short-term and debatably for general competition and range of choice in the long-term. This kind of 'survival of the fittest' and 'creative destruction' is part of the evolution of any free market, capitalist economy and the people it serves and effects." - Seymour@imagi-natives.com

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[Quote No.54631] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Here is a very interesting article that looks at 'political economics' because the two are intertwined even in so-called 'free' market capitalist countries. Namely what are some of the choices a country - in fact a government and politicians from all parties - are faced with when the economy is challenged by low growth and low inflation, especially when quantitative easing is used as a monetary policy:] 'Is Japan Zimbabwe?' - Is Japan Zimbabwe? How preposterous: Japan is an advanced economy that cannot possibly suffer the same fate as Zimbabwe. Right? Or could Japan get hyperinflation? Below I explain why Japan, and with it investors’ portfolios, might be at risk. The other day, when I was on a panel discussing unsustainable deficits in the U.S., Eurozone and Japan, the risk of inflation and Zimbabwe style hyperinflation came up. When asked about the difference about Japan and Zimbabwe, I quipped that there isn’t any. My co-panelists were all over me, arguing Japan is different. Notably that Japan could not possibly go broke because, unlike Zimbabwe, it’s an advanced economy. The argument being that Japan produces goods the world wants. To be clear: Zimbabwe and Japan are not the same. But are they really that different? Zimbabwe not only had a much weaker economy, but also much weaker institutions. But the old adage that something unsustainable won’t last forever may still hold. The difference between Zimbabwe and Japan – and Europe and the U.S. for that matter – is that advanced economies have more control over their destiny. However, all these regions have made commitments they cannot keep by continuing business as usual. A weak country may simply implode. A strong country has choices. The preferred choice these days appears to be to kick the proverbial can down the road. Currently, to get the country out of its malaise, Japan is trying the three arrows of Abenomics, a combination of government spending, monetary easing [lowering interest rates] and structural reform. Except, of course, when the first two arrows are deployed, there’s little incentive left for the third. Structural reform is a codename for the tough choices that need to be made to get an economy to be more competitive, including flexible labor markets and less regulation. Because the Bank of Japan gobbles up dramatic amounts of debt, the cost of financing government spending stays low. It’s been said that a country that issues debt in its own currency cannot go broke. Theoretically that may be correct: the central bank can always monetize the debt, i.e. buy up any new debt being issued. But in practice, there has to be a valve. In my assessment, that valve is the currency. Hence my prediction is that the yen will reach 'infinity' versus the dollar (a ‘higher’ yen represents a weaker currency [and higher import costs = imported inflation and debatable trade balance changes; and also balance between improved export competitiveness and domestic competition versus domestic inflation]), i.e. be worthless at some point. The path an advanced economy with unsustainable finances takes is in many ways a cultural and political question. Unsustainable government finances tend to be accompanied with unsatisfied citizens that have seen their standard of living erode, either because inflation has eaten away their purchasing power or because the government has taken away benefits. Such an environment is fertile ground for populist politicians to be elected. In the U.S., this may be the rise of the Occupy Wall Street or Tea Party movements. In Japan, a populist prime minister is in power. What officials have in common is that they rarely blame themselves, but seek to shift blame on the wealthy, a minority group or foreigners. It’s no co-incidence that Abe wants to abandon Japan’s pacifist constitution; if Japan were able to balance its books, I allege that odds of such a discussion would be much lower. Similarly, by the way, Ukraine would not be in its current mess if it were able to balance its books. Japan unlike Ukraine, though, has well functioning government institutions. Raising taxes is another way to try to get deficits under control. And indeed, Japan has tried, by increasing its value added tax (VAT); except that the government has shied away from another increase because of the negative impact the recent rate hike had on consumption. Broad based consumption (or energy) taxes are the only types of taxes that even have a chance of coming close to raising the orders of magnitudes needed to stuff huge fiscal holes. It’s not surprising that Scandinavian countries all have very high consumption taxes to finance their welfare states. The most obvious choice, of course, for a government with unsustainable finances would be to cut expenditures. But it’s only Germany that appears to have embraced austerity. Inflation is a slow motion form of default. The 'advantage' of inflation, as long as it doesn’t turn into hyperinflation, is that it is less prone to the so-called 'contagion.' In a default the risk is that many solvent players are drawn into insolvency as a house of cards implodes. The reason why a government default tends to start out as a slow motion locomotive before it falls off a cliff is because stakeholders want to buy time. In the Eurozone debt crisis, for example, risk-averse investors were caught off guard when they realized their peripheral Eurozone debt was not risk free. By now, everyone should know these securities are not risk free which reduces the risk of contagion, as these assets have mostly moved away from financial institutions to those that can bear the risk. No one is going to cry if a hedge fund loses money; similarly, if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) loses money, the losses are ‘socialized’. Back to Japan: Japan can continue on its current course as long as the market lets it. It’s impossible to predict if and when the market might lose confidence. The Eurozone debt crisis has shown that sentiment can switch rather suddenly, even for countries with fairly prudent long-term debt management, such as Portugal or Spain. It may be naïve at best to think that there will be plenty of warning should market sentiment shift. What we do know is that central bank actions have masked risks. Risky assets don’t appear risky anymore. But of course they are still risky. So when volatility surges – for whatever reason, investors might flee with a vengeance. A default, by the way, is not the end of the world. While the socio-economic impact on a country may be severe and a default may cause institutions to fail, especially those that own debt of the defaulting country, the reset button of default doesn’t affect everything. Government institutions may survive and so may many manufacturers. Japan induced hyperinflation to hit the reset button after World War II. Who says this can’t happen again? Japan continues to have choices how it wants to deal with its deficits. The current ‘muddle through’ environment may actually be one of the better stages. If Abenomics succeeded and real economic growth ensued, government debt would likely fall. Except that Japan might not be able to finance itself should the average cost of borrowing move much higher. Fear not, the Bank of Japan could always step in to lower the cost of borrowing yet again. In my view, that’ s a possible scenario of when the yen is going to cave in. There’s another difference between Japan and Zimbabwe: a default in Zimbabwe doesn’t cause ripple effects in financial markets. But a Japanese default may be orders of magnitude larger than the trouble that emanated from the collapse in Cyprus. Hedging the currency risk out of the Nikkei may not do the trick. Indeed, there’s no simple way to prepare for an outcome where one doesn’t know for sure what path Japan is going to take. Some buy the Nikkei, currency hedged. Others short Japanese government bonds. Yet others short the yen. Many more do none of the above as the timing is ‘too difficult.’ Each one of these choices – including doing nothing - comes with their own set of risks; please note that this sampling of choices is not investment advice." - Axel Merk
Axel Merk is President and Chief investment Officer of Merk Investments which is the Manager of the Merk Funds. [http://www.merkinvestments.com/insights/2015/2015-03-03.php ]
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[Quote No.54750] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[My first mentor, Speros Drelles,] taught me two things. First, never, ever invest in the present. It doesn't matter what a company's earning, what they have earned. He taught me that you have to visualize the situation 18 months from now, and whatever that is, that's where the price will be, not where it is today. And too many people tend to look at the present, oh this is a great company, they've done this or this central bank is doing all the right things. But you have to look to the future. If you invest in the present, you're going to get run over. The other thing he taught me is earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board. And whatever I do, focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity, that most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves markets." - Stanley Druckenmiller
American hedge fund manager. He is the former Chairman and President of Duquesne Capital, which he founded in 1981. He closed the fund in August 2010 because he felt unable to deliver high returns to his clients. [Refer http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-04-11/stan-druckenmillers-horrific-sense-deja-vu-i-know-its-tempting-invest-will-end-very- ]
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[Quote No.54787] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Don't be afraid of missing opportunities. Behind every failure is an opportunity somebody wishes they had missed." - Lily Tomlin

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[Quote No.54858] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Complexity is the new opacity in the financial markets; that it's the way bad behavior gets disguised." - Michael Lewis

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[Quote No.54916] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Learning about investing from books is like learning about sex from romance novels." - Charlie Munger

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[Quote No.55050] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Whereas previous recoveries have enabled monetary and fiscal policymakers to replenish their [monetary and fiscal] ammunition, this recovery [since the 2008=9 stock-market crash] - both in the US and elsewhere - has been distinguished by a persistent munitions shortage. This is a major problem. In all recessions since the 1970s, the US Fed funds [interest] rate has fallen by a minimum of 5 percentage points [to lower the US exchange rate and so boost US exports, while reducing foreign competition in the US domestic market, as well as making debt cheaper and the share-market's Fed Model fair Price/earnings ratio higher]. That kind of traditional stimulus is now completely ruled out [with rates still below 3% and therefore the ability to manage the next recession will be limited]." - Stephen King
chief economist of HSBC - the world’s third largest bank. [ http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-05-22/%E2%80%98titanic%E2%80%99-global-economy-may-%E2%80%9Ccollapse%E2%80%9D-warn-hsbc-gold-lifeboat ]
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[Quote No.55100] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Life [especially investing] is a school of probability!" - Walter Bagehot

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[Quote No.55130] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The last thing I want people to believe is that I don't care about the shareholder! But I happen to believe that in order to reward the shareholder in the long term, you have to please your customers and workers. " - Jim Sinegal
Costco CEO, who owned 3.2 million shares of Costco at the time he said this.
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[Quote No.55235] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When people jump into stocks even though they know valuations are high [i.e. CAPE index]... that's a bubble!" - Robert Shiller
Nobel Laureate economist. [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-01/when-people-jump-even-though-its-overpriced-thats-bubble-shiller-warns ]
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[Quote No.55359] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Being contrarian:] Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious [which is already in the markets' price as the herd has already bought or sold on this well-known expectation] and betting on the unexpected [which is not in the market's price yet - so the market has to cover-buy back its short-sales or sell its long-buys]." - George Soros
Famous investor
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[Quote No.55378] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The stock repurchase situation [which increases leverage, return on equity and earnings per share] is fascinating to me. That's because the answer is so simple. You do it when you are buying dollar bills at clear cut and significant discount and only then [dividend yield versus interest rate of loan-bond]." - Warren Buffet
Famous businessman and investor. [http://www.businessinsider.com.au/warren-buffett-letter-to-leon-cooperman-2015-7 ]
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[Quote No.55379] Need Area: Money > Invest
"A sign that a bull market is becoming less safe and more likely to crash is decreasing 'market breadth', which means that as the market moves higher, fewer and fewer stocks are participating in the rally. This is sometimes referred to as 'strategic convergence' or 'market herding' as those will to stay in the market buy into the few remaining stocks that have prices that have momentum and are still rising." - Seymour@imagi-natives.com

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[Quote No.55408] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Contrarianism:] It's the swings of psychology that get people into the biggest trouble, especially since investors’ emotions invariably swing in the wrong direction at the wrong time. When things are going well people become greedy and enthusiastic, and when times are troubled, people become fearful and reticent. That’s just the wrong thing to do. It’s important to control fear and greed." - Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital Management [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-24/howard-marks-interviewed-there%E2%80%99s-no-free-market-today ]
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[Quote No.55409] Need Area: Money > Invest
"People talk about the wisdom of the free market – of the invisible hand – but there’s no free market in money today. Interest rates are not natural. They are where they are because the governments have set them at that level. Free markets optimise the allocation of resources in the long run, and administered markets distort the allocation of resources." - Howard Marks
Oaktree Capital Management [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-24/howard-marks-interviewed-there%E2%80%99s-no-free-market-today ]
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[Quote No.55410] Need Area: Money > Invest
"What debt does is two things: it pushes forward consumption and pushes back evidence of business failure." - Jim Grant
publisher of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer. [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-24/jim-grant-gold-mr-market-having-sale-vexing-wonderful-opportunity ]
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[Quote No.55415] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Who is a wise person? One who foresees the outcome!" - Talmud
Tamid 32a
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[Quote No.55610] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I thought, 'You know, if the stock market goes way up and I'm not in it, I'll feel stupid. And if it goes way down and I'm in it, I'll feel stupid.' So I went 50-50 [50 shares - 50 cash]." - Harry Markowitz
Nobel Laureate Harry Markowitz is the creator of the 'efficient frontier', a brilliant and popular tool used by many large investors to resolve the perpetual dilemma of how to diversify a portfolio in order to get the greatest return with the least risk. However when it came time to invest his own money, Markowitz realized that despite the brilliance of the efficient frontier, the strategy was not right for him. He needed a simpler and more emotionally comfortable path. [As related in the book 'Risk Savvy' by Gerd Gigerenzer.]
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[Quote No.55620] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I have learned that there are only three types of market forecasters: those who don't know where the market is going (count me among them); those who don't know that they don't know; and those who know that they don't know, but get paid a lot of money to pretend they do. " - Larry Swedroe
director of research for The BAM Alliance, a group of 140 registered investment advisor firms. [http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/08/marc-faber-predictions/ ]
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[Quote No.55622] Need Area: Money > Invest
"We may not be able to forecast when a bridge will break, but we can [try to] identify which ones are faulty and poorly built. We can assess vulnerability [of company financial structure, share price-value and product obsolescence]." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, statistician, and risk analyst, whose work focuses on problems of randomness, probability, and uncertainty. [http://www.hedgefundintelligence.com/Article/3478725/Absolute-Return/Protecting-Your-Tail-The-ONLY-thing-an-investor-should-not-fail-to-do.html ]
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[Quote No.55654] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Too low interest rates for too long create unstable market booms that always crash eventually as they are founded on a false premise about the relative return-value of savings and the cost of borrowing:] Nothing did more to spur the boom in stocks than the decision made by the New York Federal Reserve bank, in the spring of 1927, to cut the rediscount rate [discount rate, also called rediscount rate, or bank rate, interest rate charged by a central bank for loans of reserve funds to commercial banks and other financial intermediaries]. Benjamin Strong, Governor of the bank, was chief advocate of this unwise measure, which was taken largely at the behest of Montagu Norman of the Bank of England... At the time of the Banks action I warned of its consequences... I felt that sooner or later the market had to break [which was the share market crash that started the Great Depression]." - Bernard Baruch
(1870-1965) American financier, stock market speculator, and presidential adviser to Woodrow Wilson and FDR. Source: in 'Baruch: The Public Years' (1960).
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[Quote No.55675] Need Area: Money > Invest
"At the peak of bull markets, when stock prices have been rising long enough for people who just recently started paying attention to conclude that they always go up — that's when retail investors traditionally go all-in to snag some of that apparently easy Dow Jones money. That's also when markets tend to peak and then roll over, once again transferring a sizable chunk of societal wealth from late-to-the-party 'dumb money' investors to the pros who have been here before and recognize a peak when they see one." - John Rubino
DollarCollapse.com [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-08-17/dumb-money-doing-something-smart ]
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[Quote No.55681] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Be wary of the two-edged sword of debt leverage:] The way to wealth in a bull market is debt [leverage]. The way to oblivion in a bear market is also debt [leverage], and nobody rings a bell. " - Jim Grant

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[Quote No.55729] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Bond investors are renown for being better economic and company analysts than equity investors, as the field has fewer amateurs. Therefore:] One of the best coincident and real-time indicators of bursting bubbles and recessions is the yield spread between US high-yield corporate bonds [usually considered as risky as small company shares] and the 10-year US Treasury [usually considered as risk-free and liquid as cash]." - Jonathan Garber
Experienced macro analyst who has covered global equity, fixed income, and foreign exchange markets. [http://www.businessinsider.com.au/high-yield-spread-is-nearing-code-red-2015-8 ]
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[Quote No.55730] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Risk is not inherent in an investment; it is always relative to the price paid." - Seth Klarman

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[Quote No.55763] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Lenin is said to have declared that the best way to destroy the Capitalist System was to debauch the currency. By a continuing process of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an important part of the wealth of their citizens. ...Lenin was certainly right. There is no subtler, no surer means of overturning the existing basis of society than to debauch the currency. The process engages all the hidden forces of economic law on the side of destruction, and does it in a manner which not one man in a million is able to diagnose." - John Maynard Keynes
(1883-1946) British economist. Source: 'The Economic Consequences of the Peace' (1919).
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[Quote No.55765] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Valuations are the main driver of long-term returns, but the main driver of market returns over shorter horizons is the attitude of investors toward risk, and the most reliable way to measure this is through the uniformity or divergence of market internals [breadth]. When market internals are uniformly favorable, overvaluation has little effect, and monetary easing can encourage further risk-seeking speculation. Conversely, when deterioration in market internals signals a shift toward risk-aversion among investors, monetary easing has little effect, and overvaluation can suddenly matter with a vengeance." - John P. Hussman, Ph.D.
Hussman Funds. Quote from his Weekly Market Commentary, published 24th August, 2015. [http://www.hussmanfunds.com/wmc/wmc150824.htm ]
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[Quote No.55766] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Stocks fluctuate together, but prices are controlled by values in the long run." - Charles Dow

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[Quote No.55768] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Occasionally we are asked whether it would make sense to modify our investment strategy to perform better in today's financial climate. Our answer, as you might guess, is: No! It would be easy for us to capitulate to the runaway bull market in growth and technology stocks. And foolhardy. And irresponsible. And unconscionable. It is always easiest to run with the herd; at times, it can take a deep reservoir of courage and conviction to stand apart from it. Yet distancing yourself from the crowd is an essential component of long-term investment success." - Seth Klarman
Famously successful, fund managing, value investor in the share market. Quoted December, 1999.
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[Quote No.55769] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Do not trust financial market risk models. Reality is always too complex to be accurately modeled. Attention to risk must be a 24/7/365 obsession, with people – not computers – assessing and reassessing the risk environment in real time. Despite the predilection of some analysts to model the financial markets using sophisticated mathematics, the markets are governed by behavioral science, not physical science." - Seth Klarman

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[Quote No.55770] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[While it is dangerous to over-concentrate investments, it's also dangerous to over-diversify:] It is unwise to spread one's funds over too many different securities. Time and energy are required to come to a sound judgment of an investment and to keep abreast of the forces that may change the value of a security." - Bernard Baruch

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[Quote No.55771] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Let me emphasize that it does not take a genius or even superior talent to be successful as a value analyst. What it needs first is, reasonable intelligence; second, sound principles of operation; third, and most important, firmness of character." - Benjamin Graham
The 'Father of Fundamental, Value Investing'.
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[Quote No.55772] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I have heard many men talk intelligently, even brilliantly, about something – only to see them proven powerless when it comes to acting on what they believe. Investors must [have the focussed, self-discipline to] act in time." - Bernard Baruch

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