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  Quotations - Invest  
[Quote No.61056] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There are many ways to catch a fish, but the best one is the one that works for you!" - Karl Mikael Syding
European Hedge Fund Manager of the Decade
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[Quote No.61080] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Luck enters into any contingency. You are a fool if you forget it -- and a greater fool if you count upon it. " - Phyllis Bottome

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[Quote No.61177] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Forecasts usually tell us more of the forecaster than of the future." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.61295] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Fundamental, value investing; buy good companies when others are fearful and sell when others are greedy:] Some people get rich studying artificial intelligence. Me, I make money studying natural stupidity." - Carl Icahn

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[Quote No.61426] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Risk-taking and creating a margin of safety:] Sometimes it is better to lose and do the right thing than to win and do the wrong thing." - Anthony Charles Lynton Blair

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[Quote No.61428] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The Great Depression was not caused by laissez faire but by the actions of well-intended politicians and bureaucrats. The Federal Reserve System, after all, was not created in response to the Great Depression, but in 1913. Soon thereafter it began experimenting with its awesome powers, expanding the money supply during the roaring '20s, propping up the pound sterling in London, extending credit so Europeans could buy American agricultural products. All the while, Congress was becoming more and more protectionist. When the Fed reversed policies in 1929 and actually shrunk the money supply by a third over the next three years and Congress culminated its protectionist tendencies with the Smoot-Hawley tariff, the collapse was underway. The fact that Hoover then raised taxes and Roosevelt kept wages artificially high guaranteed the massive unemployment that marked the 1930s. Government caused and exacerbated the Great Depression." - Edward H. Crane
Founder and president of the Cato Institute. Source: April 6, 1995, at a meeting of the Philanthropy Roundtable.
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[Quote No.61582] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.61696] Need Area: Money > Invest
"A wise man fights to win but he is twice a fool who has no plan for possible defeat. " - Louis L'Amour
(1908-1988), novelist.
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[Quote No.61745] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I make decisions based on good process rather than monetary outcome. So I have no attachment to losses or periods of losses. Which means I can continue to follow the process and achieve my objectives. I accept there is much I can't control. I can however control my reactions to events - good and bad. Much of that control comes from having no attachment to the money. I have patience. A moderately good strategy applied over the long term will generate more wealth than chasing the latest fad. The Eighth Wonder of the World is compounding. And compounding requires time to develop. " - Nick Radge
[Refer thechartist.com.au ]
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[Quote No.61762] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology." - Seth Klarman
famed investor
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[Quote No.61895] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The power of central banks and the money supply:] I am afraid that the ordinary citizen will not like to be told that the banks can and do create and destroy money. And they who control the credit of a nation direct the policy of governments, and hold in the hollow of their hands the destiny of the people." - Reginald McKenna
(1863-1943) British Secretary to the Treasury (1903), President of the Board of Education (1907–08) First Lord of the Admiralty (1908–1911), Home Secretary (1911–1915) and Chancellor of the Exchequer (1915–1916), and Chairman of the Midland Bank (1918). Source: speaking in 1924.
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[Quote No.61896] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The power of banks, credit and the money supply:] I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire, ... The man that controls Britain's money supply controls the British Empire. And I control the money supply." - Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild
(1777-1836) London financier, one of the founders of the international Rothschild banking dynasty. Source: Attributed - no source.
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[Quote No.61917] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The 'fog of investing': Share investing, like] War is the realm of uncertainty; three-quarters of the factors on which action is based are wrapped in a fog of greater or lesser uncertainty." - Carl von Clausewitz

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[Quote No.61942] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Low and expanding risk premiums [i.e. financial risk is perceived to be much lower than it realistically is and therefore interest rates are kept too low, which inspires a speculative frenzy and pushes asset prices too high, creating a market bubble that will eventually crash] are at the root of nearly every abrupt market loss." - Raghuram Rajan
The governor of the Reserve Bank of India, who was one of the few economists who foresaw the financial crisis of 2007-09.
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[Quote No.61963] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Everything in life has some risk, and what you have to actually learn to do is how to navigate it!" - Reid Hoffman
Co-founder of linkedIn.com. As quoted in his book, 'The Start-Up of You: Adapt to the Future, Invest in Yourself, and Transform Your Career'.
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[Quote No.61999] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[An inverted yield curve, where the short interest rate is higher than the ten year rate, indicates that monetary policy is trying to slow an inflationary, overheating economy. This can have negative short-term consequences:] ...in 80% of the 14 Federal Reserve [US central bank] tightening cycles since 1945, a recession ensued, and the Fed managed to keep the Good Ship Economy off the rocks just three times." - John Mauldin
Apr 26, 2017.
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[Quote No.62155] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The yield spread between the lowest investment grade corporate bonds (Baa) and 10-year Treasuries is a useful measure of market risk. The risk premium widens in times of uncertainty." - Colin Twiggs

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[Quote No.62210] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I think what people should be focused on is the shape of the yield curve. ...[Every] single inversion of the yield curve, where short-term rates go above long-term interest rates, has presaged a recession - every single time." - David Rosenberg
Chief economist at Gluskin Sheff. [http://www.valuewalk.com/2017/05/david-rosenberg-yield-curve-best-recession-indicator/ ]
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[Quote No.62219] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Buying in gloom and selling in boom is a recipe for success, but purgatory awaits the buyer in boom." - Roger Montgomery
Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Montgomery Investment Management. [https://rogermontgomery.com/more-records-for-no-income/ ]
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[Quote No.62221] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When considering the future always give the future outcomes probability odds, as nothing is certain!" - Seymour@imagi-natives.com

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[Quote No.62235] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When share prices are low [crashing], as they were in the fall of 2008 into early 2009, actual risk is usually quite muted while perception of risk is very high. By contrast, when securities prices are high [booming], as they are today [in 2017], the perception of risk is muted, but the risks to investors are quite elevated." - Seth Klarman
Famous fundamental value investor with the Baupost Group. [ https://www.businessinsider.com.au/baupost-groups-seth-klarman-on-market-risk-post-trump-trade-2017-5 ]
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[Quote No.62239] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Try to define the probability-odds:] As in poker, you have an advantage if you are better than your competitors at separating 60/ 40 bets from 40/ 60 - or 55/ 45 from 45/ 55. Translating vague-verbiage hunches into numeric probabilities feels unnatural at first but it can be done. It just requires patience and practice." - Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner
In their book, 'Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction'.
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[Quote No.62246] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In good years, defensive investors have to be content with the knowledge that their gains, although perhaps less than maximal, were achieved with risk protection in place, even though it turned out not to be needed." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62247] Need Area: Money > Invest
"This paradox exists because most investors think quality, as opposed to price, is the determinant of whether something's risky. But high quality assets can be risky, and low quality assets can be safe. It's just a matter of the price paid for them...Elevated popular opinion, then, isn't just the source of low return potential, but also of high risk." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62248] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There aren't always great things to do, and sometimes we maximize our contribution by being discerning and relatively inactive. Patient opportunism – waiting for bargains – is often your best strategy." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62249] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In bubbles, infatuation with market momentum takes over from any notion of value and fair price, and greed (plus the pain of standing by as others make seemingly easy money) neutralises any prudence that might otherwise hold sway." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62250] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The most dangerous thing is to buy something at the peak of its popularity. At that point, all favourable facts and opinions are already factored into its price and no new buyers are left to emerge." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62251] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Every once in a while, an up-or-down-leg goes on for a long time and/or to a great extreme and people start to say 'this time it's different.' They cite the changes in geopolitics, institutions, technology or behaviour that have rendered the 'old rules' obsolete. They make investment decisions that extrapolate the recent trend. And then it turns out that the old rules still apply and the cycle resumes. In the end, trees don't grow to the sky, and few things go to zero." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62252] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When capital is in oversupply [too cheap for too long] investors compete for deals by accepting low returns and a slender margin of error." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62253] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Several things go together for those who view the world as an uncertain place: healthy respect for risk; awareness that we don't know what the future holds; an understanding that the best we can do is view the future as a probability distribution and invest accordingly; insistence on defensive investing; and emphasis on avoiding pitfalls. To me that is what thoughtful investing is all about." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62254] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In dealing with the future, we must think about two things: (a) what might happen and (b) the probability that it will happen." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62258] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The proper response lies in contrarian behavior: buy when they hate 'em, and sell when they love 'em." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62259] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There's only one way to describe most investors: trend followers. Superior investors are the exact opposite [contrarian]." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62260] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Skillful risk control is the mark of the superior investor." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62261] Need Area: Money > Invest
"High quality assets can be risky, and low quality assets can be safe. It's just a matter of the price paid for them." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62262] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Investing is a popularity contest...When everyone believes something is risky, their unwillingness to buy usually reduces the price to the point where it's not risky. When everyone believes something embodies no risk, they usually bid it up to the point where it's enormously risky." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62263] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Investor psychology can cause a security to be priced just about anywhere in the short run, regardless of its fundamentals." - Howard Mark
From his book, 'The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor'.
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[Quote No.62264] Need Area: Money > Invest
"'Prices are too high' is far from synonymous with 'the next move will be downward.' Things can be overpriced and stay that way for a long time or become far more so." - Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
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[Quote No.62265] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There's a big difference between probability and outcome. Probable things fail to happen - and improbable things happen - all the time. That's one of the most important things you can know about investment risk." - Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
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[Quote No.62266] Need Area: Money > Invest
"We have to practice defensive investing ...It's more important to ensure survival under negative outcomes than it is to guarantee maximum returns under favorable ones." - Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
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[Quote No.62267] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The desire for more, the fear of missing out, the tendency to compare against others, the influence of the crowd and the dream of the sure thing - these factors are near universal. Thus they have a profound collective impact on most investors and most markets. This is especially true at the market extremes. The result is mistakes - frequent, widespread, recurring, expensive mistakes." - Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
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[Quote No.62268] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The best foundation for a successful investment - or a successful investment career - is value. You must have a good idea of what the thing you're considering buying is worth. There are many components to this and many ways to look at it. To oversimplify, there's cash on the books and the value of the tangible assets; the ability of the company or asset to generate cash; and the potential for these things to increase. ...Achieving gains usually has something to do with being right about events that are on the come, whereas losses can be minimized by ascertaining that tangible value is present, the herd's expectations are moderate and prices are low. My experience tells me the latter can be done with greater consistency." - Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor
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[Quote No.62335] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Take calculated risks. That is quite different from being rash." - George Patton

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[Quote No.62354] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Most success - especially in investing - requires some 'wait training'!" - Anonymous

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[Quote No.62378] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...since the 1960, every time [US] Commercial and Industrial loan balances have declined (or simply stopped growing), whether due to tighter loan supply or declining demand, a [US] recession was already either in progress or would start soon. [Refer also to another good recession indicator related to loans, namely an inverted yield where short term rates exceed long term rates. This slows loans and therefore economic activity in the economy as banks' business model makes profits from the interest difference from borrowing short term and lending long term and with an inverted yield there is no profit.]" - zerohedge.com
[http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-06-10/us-weeks-away-recession-according-latest-loan-data ]
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[Quote No.62447] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Avoiding loss should be the primary goal of every investor. ...While no one wishes to incur losses, you couldn't prove it from an examination of the behavior of most investors and speculators. The speculative urge that lies within most of us is strong; the prospect of free lunch can be compelling, especially when others have already seemingly partaken. It can be hard to concentrate on losses when others are greedily reaching for gains and your broker is on the phone offering shares in the latest 'hot' initial public offering. Yet the avoidance of loss is the surest way to ensure a profitable outcome." - Seth Klarman
Famous fundamental-value share investor in his book 'Margin of Safety'.
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[Quote No.62448] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Bull and bear markets:] I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction. ... Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves markets. [Liquidity is the expansion and contraction of money, specifically the access to and interest cost of credit. It's the biggest variable that drives demand in an economy.]" - Stanley Druckenmiller

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[Quote No.62449] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The direction of interest rates and liquidity determine bull and bear markets, while industry sectors and individual company shares are influenced also by individual drivers:] I never use valuation to time the market. I use liquidity considerations and technical analysis for timing. Valuation only tells me how far the market can go once a catalyst enters the picture to change the market direction. ... Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves markets. [Liquidity is the expansion and contraction of money, specifically the access to and interest cost of credit. It's the biggest variable that drives demand in an economy.] ... When I first started out, I did very thorough papers covering every aspect of a stock or industry. Before I could make the presentation to the stock selection committee, I first had to submit the paper to the research director. I particularly remember the time I gave him my paper on the banking industry. I felt very proud of my work. However, he read through it and said, 'This is useless. What makes the stock go up and down?' That comment acted as a spur. Thereafter, I focused my analysis on seeking to identify the factors that were strongly correlated to a stock's price movement as opposed to looking at all the fundamentals. Frankly, even today, many analysts still don't know what makes their particular stocks go up and down. ... Very often the key factor is related to earnings. This is particularly true of the bank stocks. Chemical stocks, however, behave quite differently. In this industry, the key factor seems to be capacity. The ideal time to buy the chemical stocks is after a lot of capacity has left the industry and there's a catalyst that you believe will trigger an increase in demand. Conversely, the ideal time to sell these stocks is when there are lots of announcements for new plants, not when the earnings turn down. The reason for this behavioral pattern is that expansion plans mean that earnings will go down in two to three years, and the stock market tends to anticipate such developments." - Stanley Druckenmiller

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[Quote No.62450] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Focus on first getting the general market direction right: is it a bull or bear market:] Recently, I was at a money manager roundtable dinner where everyone was talking about 'my stock this' and 'my stock that'. Their attitude was that it doesn't matter what is going to happen in the world because their favorite stock is generating free cash flow, buying back shares, and doing XYZ. People always forget that 50% of a stock's move is the overall market, 30% is the industry group, and then maybe 20% is the extra alpha from stock picking. " - Scott Bessent
One of Stanley Druckenmiller's protégés.
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[Quote No.62451] Need Area: Money > Invest
"We look at the market in three different ways ...First of all, we look at valuations. We use them to determine, really, the market's risk level, as opposed to its direction... Valuation is something you have to keep in mind in terms of the market's risk level... when catalyst's come in and change the market's direction... the decline could be very major if you're coming from the kinds of overvaluation levels witnessed in '29 and the fourth quarter of last year [note: this was in the year following the '87 crash]. So valuation is something we keep in the back of our minds. The major thing we look at is liquidity, meaning as a combination of an economic overview. Contrary to what a lot of the financial press has stated, looking at the great bull markets of this century, the best environment for stocks is a very dull, slow [so low inflation] economy that the Federal Reserve is trying to get going [using low interest rates = easy liquidity]... Once an economy reaches a certain level of acceleration [demand and inflation]... the Fed is no longer with you... The Fed, instead of trying to get the economy moving, reverts to acting like the central bankers they are and starts worrying about inflation and things getting too hot. So it tries to cool things off... shrinking liquidity... [While at the same time] The corporations start having to build inventory, which again takes money out of the financial assets... finally, if things get really heated, companies start engaging in capital spending... All three of these things, tend to shrink the overall money available for investing in stocks and stock prices go down... [Remember] ... Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves markets." - Stanley Druckenmiller

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