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  Quotations - Invest  
[Quote No.62555] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Market booms and busts:] Bubbles are like an avalanche. The longer they build up, the worse they will be when they eventually destabilize." - Ben Carlson
Director of institutional asset management at Ritholtz Wealth Management. He is the author of 'Organizational Alpha: How to Add Value in Institutional Asset Management.' [https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-06-21/canada-s-housing-bubble-will-burst ]
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[Quote No.62599] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The line separating investment and speculation, which is never bright and clear, becomes blurred still further when most market participants have recently enjoyed triumphs. Nothing sedates rationality like large doses of effortless money. After a heady experience of that kind, normally sensible people drift into behavior akin to that of Cinderella at the ball. They know that overstaying the festivities - that is, continuing to speculate in companies that have gigantic valuations relative to the cash they are likely to generate in the future - will eventually bring on pumpkins and mice. But they nevertheless hate to miss a single minute of what is one helluva party." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.62643] Need Area: Money > Invest
"For [Market] bubbles to take place, what you usually see throughout history is suddenly the whole community becomes fixated on one object and they go mad in pursuit. Millions of people become simultaneously impressed with one illusion, which develops into a delusion. ... What was once rational becomes irrational, with everyone seeking to become rich, because there's nothing more disturbing to one's psyche, well-being, and judgement, as to see a friend get rich. ... Bear markets happen rapidly, and the declines are swift. All of sudden, greed turns to panic, which turns to revulsion." - Jim Puplava
Founder of Financial Sense. [http://www.financialsense.com/jim-puplava/final-phase-market-bubble? ]
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[Quote No.62652] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Unemployment below the long-term natural rate suggests the economy is close to capacity and inflationary pressures should be building." - Colin Twiggs
Investment newsletter, August 4th, 2017.
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[Quote No.62659] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Each person has to play the game given his own marginal utility considerations and in a way that takes into account his own psychology. If losses are going to make you miserable and some losses are inevitable you might be wise to utilize a very conservative patterns of investment and saving all your life. So you have to adapt your strategy to your own nature and your own talents. I don't think there's a one-size-fits-all investment strategy that I can give you." - Charlie Munger
Lawyer and successful fundamentals-value investor.
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[Quote No.62678] Need Area: Money > Invest
"A well-informed mind is the best security against the contagion of folly and of vice!" - Ann Radcliffe

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[Quote No.62712] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...equity markets do indeed turn for the better long before economies move upward and out of recessions, always fueled by monetary expansion. Also, they turn down long before those same economies fall into recessions and indeed are usually moving lower as those economies are moving to their best levels as capital is demanded for plant and equipment. That capital must be taken from somewhere and that 'somewhere' is the equity marke... especially if the monetary authorities are becoming 'stingy' with monetary expansion." - Dennis Gartman
Editor and publisher of the financial newsletter, 'The Gartman Letter'.
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[Quote No.62713] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Never risk what you have and need for what you don't have and don't need." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.62952] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Rough diamonds may sometimes be mistaken for worthless pebbles." - Sir Thomas Browne

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[Quote No.62958] Need Area: Money > Invest
"A bull market is like sex. It feels best just before it ends." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.62994] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Bull markets that eventually crash are created by keeping interest rates too low for too long which unjustifiably inflates consumer and business envy, confidence and prospects - especially valuations of assets used for loan collateral. For example the utility industry during the 1920's. The industry was red-hot in the 1920's, and utility stocks had the largest market capitalization of any sector on the New York Stock Exchange. As head of Chicago's Commonwealth Edison, the country's largest utility, Samuel Insull was one of the nation's most powerful business executives. Insull had spent his career struggling to gain access to capital for acquisitions and expansion, but in the 1920's, bankers suddenly became generous, and began pushing loans on Insull and on other businesses across the nation, creating an economic frenzy that resulted in the Great Crash of 1929. Insull eventually took advantage of those loans. After the crash, Insull became a pariah:] During the [1920s], Samuel Insull would ascend higher and higher, until he attained power and prestige rarely if ever equaled by any businessman whose position rested on ability rather than wealth, and then come crashing to earth, to become less than a cipher, to degenerate into an arch-symbol of every manner of corporate evil. He would see his personal fortune increase from around $5,000,000 in 1927 to $150,000,000 in 1929, and then tumble, by mid-1932, to zero and below, to a net indebtedness so large that, as one banker put it, he was 'too broke to be bankrupt.' With him -- to the top and then to the bottom -- went hundreds of thousands of stockholders who shared his faith in his own invulnerability. ... Between 1924 and 1927 virtually every old pro in the Chicago banking community died, leaving the banks in the hands of persons whose lack of seasoning prepared them ill for the financial storms ahead. Assuming command during the expansionist fever of the late twenties, they began throwing money at everyone who seemed prosperous; Insull they deluged with easy credit, begging him to accept it, for any purpose. At a party, the new president of the Continental Bank sidled up to [Insull's son] and, with the manner of a French postcard peddler, said, 'Say, I just want you to know that if you fellows ever want to borrow more than the legal limit, all you have to do is organize a new corporation, and we'll be happy to lend you another $21,000,000.' As Phil McEnroe, Insull's bookkeeper, said, 'The bankers would call us up the way the grocer used to call my mamma, and try to push their money at us. 'We have some nice lettuce today, Mrs. McEnroe; we have some nice fresh green money today, Mr. Insull. Isn't there something you could use maybe $10,000,000 for?' To an organization that had always been kept in check by the difficulty of raising capital for expansion, this new situation had the impact of three stiff drinks on an empty stomach." - Forrest McDonald
Quote from his book, 'Insull: The Rise and Fall of a Billionaire Utility Tycoon'.
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[Quote No.63064] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Profit from banks's borrowing short-term and lending long-term drives the credit cycle and thereby the share market:] The simplest reason for the flattening [of the yield curve - the difference between short-term rates and long-term bond yields] comes from looking separately at what's going on with short rates, the most sensitive to Fed[eral Reserve's] policy expectations, and longer-term yields, which take their cues from the outlook for inflation and economic growth. [It is important to not that an inverted yield curve precedes nearly all share-market crashes and economic recessions!]" - Brian Chappatta
[https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-13/the-u-s-yield-curve-is-flattening-and-here-s-why-it-matters ]
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[Quote No.63099] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I will tell you how to become rich - Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.63106] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Share market booms, irrational exuberance and momentum investing: Sky high valuations eventually go back to their fair value - if not lower, for a time. When and how this happens is always unknown. Remember, like a leaf in a hurricane...] You have no idea where the leaf will be a minute or an hour from now. But eventually gravity will win out and it will land on the ground." - Ben Inker
Co-head of the asset-allocation team at Boston-based money management firm GMO.
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[Quote No.63125] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Interest rates:] Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board.... Focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity.... Most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves markets." - Stan Druckenmiller

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[Quote No.63137] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Just because I called it a bubble doesn't mean it will automatically pop." - Vitaliy Katsenelson
The Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates.
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[Quote No.63142] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Timing the end of a major bubble [or crash] is extraordinarily difficult as it entails figuring out when a critical mass of investors shift from greed [fear] to fear [greed]." - Graham Summers
Chief Market Strategist of Phoenix Capital Research. [http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-12-08/it-late-2007-everything-bubble ]
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[Quote No.63153] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Inverted yield curves and central bank interest rate rising too far, too fast causing recessions:] The Fed can set interest rates, but doesn't dictate how easy it is for borrowers to get credit. In a typical economic expansion, the Fed will start to raise rates to make it more expensive to borrow money (to tighten financial conditions!). But because the economy does well, banks might ease lending standards; or demand by borrowers may pick up for other reasons despite higher rates. As a result, the Fed continues to tighten until, well, until the economy at some point slows down. It's this indirect dynamic that makes it so difficult for the Fed to engineer a soft-landing, i.e. to stop tightening just in time for excesses to be avoided." - Axel Merk
President and Chief Investment Officer, Merk Investments. [Refer Merk 2018 Outlook - http://news.goldseek.com/GoldSeek/1512574438.php ]
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[Quote No.63178] Need Area: Money > Invest
"All courses of action are risky, so prudence is not in avoiding danger (it's impossible), but calculating risk and acting decisively! " - Niccolo Machiavelli

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[Quote No.63182] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Forecasts usually tell us more of the forecaster than the future." - Warren Buffett

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[Quote No.63183] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Forecasts:] Markets will fluctuate." - J.P. Morgan

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[Quote No.63184] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Forecasts are financial candy. Forecasts give people who hate the feeling of uncertainty something emotionally soothing." - Thomac Vician Jnr.
A student of Ed Seykota.
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[Quote No.63185] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Forecasts:] Many of us smile at old fashioned fortune tellers. But when the soothsayers work with computer algorithms rather than tarot cards, we take their predictions seriously and are prepared to pay for them." - Gerd Gigerenzer

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[Quote No.63186] Need Area: Money > Invest
" [Forecasts:] Our industry is full of people who got famous for being right once in a row. " - Howard Marks

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[Quote No.63187] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Forecasts create the mirage that the future is knowable. " - Peter Bernstein

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[Quote No.63188] Need Area: Money > Invest
""There is nothing new on Wall Street or in stock speculation. What has happened in the past will happen again, and again, and again. This is because human nature does not change, and it is human emotion, solidly build into human nature, that always gets in the way of human intelligence. Of this I am sure." - Jesse Livermore

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[Quote No.63189] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The problem with bubbles is that they force one to decide whether to look like an idiot before the peak or an idiot after the peak." - John Hussman

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[Quote No.63190] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Advice on the pricking of bubbles:] The specific manner by which prices collapsed is not the most important problem. A crash occurs because the market has entered an unstable phase and any small disturbance or process may have triggered the instability. Think of a ruler held up vertically on your finger. This very unstable condition will lead eventually to its collapse, as a result of a small or the absence of adequate motion of your hand or due to any tiny whiff of air. The collapse is fundamentally due to the unstable position, the instantaneous cause of the collapse is secondary." - Didier Sornette
French geophysicist
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[Quote No.63191] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Technical analysis:] Follow the trend lines not the headlines. " - Bill Clinton
Ex-US President
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[Quote No.63217] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Investing means buying an asset that actually creates products and services and cashflow for an extended period of time. Like a piece of a profitable business or a rentable piece of real estate. An investment is something that has intrinsic value that is, it would be worth owning from a financial perspective, even if you could never sell it. [Investing differs from speculating which is about buying something, regardless of its intrinsic value, with the hope to recover your money and get a profit by selling it later for more than you bought it to someone who hopes to do the same.]" - mrmoneymustache.com
[https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2018/01/02/why-bitcoin-is-stupid/ ]
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[Quote No.63218] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The very definition of an unsophisticated investor is 'Being more willing to buy something, the more its price goes up.' " - mrmoneymustache.com
[https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2018/01/02/why-bitcoin-is-stupid/ ]
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[Quote No.63219] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Skilful risk control is the mark of the superior investor. [Remember managing risk is what separates the best from the rest!]" - Howard Marks

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[Quote No.63254] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Who is the wise person? The one who foresees the consequences." - Talmud
Tamid, 32a
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[Quote No.36566] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Consistent with the policy of 'financial repression', where interest rates are kept below true inflation levels, which economies with too much debt and welfare use to inflate their way out of it, here is a quote to show how the US is considering altering the way they measure inflation to make their use of 'financial repression' less obvious and 'secretly' reduce their inflation adjusted welfare payments.] Another factor is the story being planted left and right that that there is big progress being made on the debt ceiling. The talk today from the NYT, WaPo and WSJ is that Obama has put real cuts on the table for Social Security. That there is a plan to means test Medicare as a way to cut costs. (As of now there are no details on any of this) One aspect of the 'compromise' talk is a story about how changing inflation calculations could generate significant new revenue for the IRS. The technical description is a change from CPI-W to the Chained CPI for the purposes of indexing various aspects of the tax code. The Joint Committee on Taxation did a review of this. I was surprised with the results. The consequences are measured in the following chart that looks at things out in 2021. Look at what income groups have a tax increase as a result of this. Those making Less Than $100k would get hit by the highest percentage. Those that make $500k-1mm do pay 0.1% more, but the really fat cats making over a Mil don't feel it at all. " - Bruce Krasting
Published Jul 07, 2011. [http://www.istockanalyst.com/finance/story/5278929/irrational-exuberance-july-2011 ]
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