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  Quotations - Invest  
[Quote No.22757] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...in a boom any fool can make profits that last only during the boom but disappear like dew in the morning sun in the more or less inevitable slumps that will sooner or later follow." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22758] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Property values never go down – in some magical way they are immune to cyclical slumps. The Reality: Property markets suffer severe decline in periodical slumps. But they are not so easily recognised as share market slumps." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22759] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Shares may go down in value, but if you are in the market for three to five years all will be well. The Reality: After the 1987 [Australian stock market] crash, complete recovery took over nine years. There have been periods of up to 15 years in which there have been no sustained gains." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22760] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Some investments, including shares and property are an assured hedge against inflation, i.e. if they are bought at any time and at any price they will provide enough capital gain to preserve the real value of capital. The Reality: For many periods these investments have provided enough capital gain to achieve that goal. But there have been other periods of up to 20 years in which they have not provided enough capital gain to offset inflation." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22761] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Risk is eliminated or greatly reduced by investing in managed funds such as unit trusts because of the wide spread over a large number of stocks. The Reality: A spread over many stocks provides protection against only one type of risk, i.e. the risk of a company failing or getting into serious problems. It provides no protection against another and more significant risk – that of overall market decline." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22762] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Timing does not matter. It is always a good time to invest in shares or property. It is the length of time for which you are in the market that counts, not the time of buying and selling. The Reality: Timing is crucial. Often when you buy and sell has a larger impact on results than what you buy. Those who invested in [Australian] shares for five years in September 1982 enjoyed a massive capital gain of over 300 per cent. But those who invested for five years in September 1987 suffered a loss of about 30 per cent." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22763] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The False Claim: Investment expertise and access to research facilities ensures that unit trusts, investment bonds and other types of managed funds will produce better results than individual investors. The Reality: A minority of fund managers at various times have performed well but most have failed to do as well as the market average. Moreover, those managers who have done very well over particular periods of one, three, five or ten years have been among the also rans in later periods." - Austin Donnelly
The Australian newspaper, Sydney Morning Herald, described him as...'the country's top financial adviser...[being]...one of the few advisers to predict the October 1987 [Australian stock] market crash. Quote from 'Donnelly's Investing Digest'
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[Quote No.22811] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[In the short term, the market is driven...] by artificial manipulation or distorted by psychological excesses." - Benjamin Graham
American share market analyst held in the highest esteem by financial analysts worldwide - quote made in 1934.
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[Quote No.22812] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[When investing I focus on making]...a careful selection of a few companies having regard to their probable actual and potential intrinsic value over a period of years ahead and in relation to alternative investments at the time." - John Maynard Keynes
Great economist and share investor
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[Quote No.22813] Need Area: Money > Invest
"You can’t do well in investments unless you think independently. And the truth is you’re neither right nor wrong because people agree with you. You’re right because your facts and your reasoning are right. In the end that’s all that counts." - Warren Buffett
Share investing genius who became a self-made billionaire and one of the richest men in the world through this talent. He repeatedly states his willingness to 'think independently' of the crowd as the single most important key to his success.
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[Quote No.22825] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There are more fools among buyers than among sellers." - French Proverb

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[Quote No.22836] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I've often felt there might be more to be gained by studying business failures than business successes." - Warren Buffett
Self-made investment billionaire
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[Quote No.22839] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Never invest in any idea you can't illustrate with a crayon." - Peter Lynch
Successful Wall Street Investor and fund manager
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[Quote No.22840] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Basic economic theory suggests that demand falls as prices go up. But in the case of speculative markets, the opposite seems to be true. [And vice versa. So contrary to many economic theorists, all Humanity hasn't evolved into Homo Economicus who always acts rationally. The irrationality in fact even explains bull markets and busts. George Soros, the self-made hedge fund billionaire, uses this idea of irrationality in financial markets going to extremes of fear and greed when he invests, as does Warren Buffett, another incredibly successful self-made billionaire investor. George Soros, the former philosophy student, has even formalised his own understanding of this quirk of human nature, markets and investing into what he calls his 'Theory of Reflexivity'. Warren Buffett would, on the other hand, call his style of investing, Fundamental Value investing, that means he looks to buy when the market is irrationally fearful and undervaluing a good company's shares and sell when the situation is reversed.]" - Marc Faber
International investment commentator and highly successful investor.
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[Quote No.22841] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The qualities [an investor ought to have] include patience, self-reliance, common sense, a tolerance for pain, open-mindedness, detachment, persistence, humility, flexibility, a willingness to do independent research, an equal willingness to admit mistakes and the ability to ignore general panic." - Peter Lynch
Successful Wall Street investor and fund manager
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[Quote No.22842] Need Area: Money > Invest
"We believe that according the name 'investors' to institutions that trade actively is like calling someone who repeatedly engages in one night stands 'a romantic'." - Warren Buffett
Self-made billionaire share investor
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[Quote No.22843] Need Area: Money > Invest
"An expert is someone who knows some of the worst mistakes that can be made in his subject and who manages to avoid them." - Werner Heisenberg
German physicist
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[Quote No.22844] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If you know why you bought a stock in the first place, you'll automatically have a better idea of when to say goodbye to it." - Peter Lynch
Successful Wall Street investor and fund manager
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[Quote No.23098] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The believer is happy; the doubter is wise." - Hungarian Proverb

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[Quote No.23108] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Everyone has bad stretches and real successes. Either way, you have to be careful not to lose your confidence or get too confident." - Nancy Kerrigan

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[Quote No.23210] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[Portfolio Management and a] General Approach to Minimising Risk...Set a policy range from zero to maximum percentage of total capital...on the basis of...the capacity of the investor to face the risk of significant market fluctuation. [...retired people, or those with little or no income from other sources...10 to 20 per cent...those with more capital and more than adequate income from a business or professional wages... a limit up to 75 or 80 per cent in shares, with the balance in the short to medium-term fixed interest investments as a ‘safe haven’ and a source of funds at times of prolonged market slumps...it is generally not wise to be 100 per cent in the market or out of it. That would suggest 100 per cent certainty that the market is going to continue rising or that it will go down significantly. But there is no way of being 100 per cent certain on those matters] Within those policy limits adopt an investment strategy that reflects [long term] market trends. Increase investment towards the upper limit of the policy range [percentage of total capital] for sharemarket investments when objective indicators are positive and vice versa. Review and rebalance portfolios regularly on an annual or six-monthly basis and at times of major change in investment markets…[and] when the situation of the investor changes…Investors should...have portfolios which hold enough stocks to provide a spread of risk through diversification, but is limited to a reasonable number so that the portfolio is compact...generally six to ten stocks [possibly 15]...portfolios with a larger number of stocks generally do not add very much to the safety of the capital invested, but undue fragmentation makes continuing management less effective. [Remembering that diversification only protects against individual company slumps and not the risk of a market slump – which is addressed above using policy limits and varying amounts within that depending on objective indications about the nature and value of the market.]" - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23211] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Risk-taking is indeed a necessary condition for the creation of wealth. The ultimate values of all assets rest on their ability to produce goods and services in the future. And the future as we all know is uncertain and hence all investments are risky." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23212] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The most effective means we have for looking over the horizon is to try to identify which of the forces currently driving the economy are transitory and which are deeply seated and likely to persist in the longer term." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23213] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...recognizing the uncertainty around any given forecast, we endeavor to look at a range of forecasts and to form judgments of their relative probabilities...we also recognize the inevitability of errors in forecasts...[therefore this] requires an assessment of the consequences of various policy alternatives should they prove to be wrong." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23214] Need Area: Money > Invest
"It may be a good idea for all…to have prominently exhibited...a sign with the initials RTTM...[which] stand for ’Regression To The Mean’ – the fact that in the long term sharemarket, and other markets, have at least partially regressed to the mean. In other words rises or falls do not continue indefinitely. They tend to reverse direction [often when least expected] towards the long term trend which is the average rate of gain the market has been able to sustain over a long period of time [i.e. 30 years or more]" - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23215] Need Area: Money > Invest
"In economics the majority are always wrong." - John Kenneth Galbraith
Famous American economist
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[Quote No.23216] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The more frenetic and prolonged the boom, inevitably the more severe and prolonged the ensuing slump is likely to be...The heavier the party tonight, the worse the hangover tomorrow." - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23217] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...the longer the bubble inflates, the more painful the bust." - Max Walsh
Financial journalist and Editor-in-Chief of the respected Australian financial and political magazine, 'The Bulletin' 19th January 1999.
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[Quote No.23218] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Be very wary when, in response to a question about whether prices may be high in a bull market, the conventional wisdom assures you that, ‘things are different this time’. In the six booms and slumps which I have been through in the last 40 years [including one where losses exceeded 40 per cent and took more than 10 years to recover], that is always said when prices reach dangerous levels. But, in effect, things are really not different and the boom and the high prices are invariably followed by a slump. That has been the experience in every boom since the South Sea Bubble 250 years ago." - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23219] Need Area: Money > Invest
"[The Efficient Market hypothesis]...represents one of the most remarkable errors in the history of economic thought." - R. J. Shiller
Yale University Professor , in ‘Advances in Behavioural Finance’, p169
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[Quote No.23220] Need Area: Money > Invest
"On the basis of extensive research they [Baylor University professors, William Reichstein and Dovale Dorsett] conclude that the bad periods in the market are predictably followed by good periods and vice versa. This finding is a direct contradiction of the random walk view [associated with the efficient market hypothesis], which denies that changes in stock prices are predictable." - Peter Bernstein
in ‘Against the Gods – The Remarkable Story of Risk’, p178
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[Quote No.23221] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Supporters of the efficient market hypothesis wrongly believe that share prices at any time reflect a reliable indication of what the prices should be. Hence they claim it is futile to attempt to time moves into and out of the market (which is completely different from the market reality) and that it is always a good time to buy shares. Unfortunately, that false but very widespread notion has given an air of respectability to the claims of fund managers and many commission-based advisers who assert that it is always a good time to buy shares." - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23222] Need Area: Money > Invest
"History demonstrates that participants in financial markets are susceptible to waves of optimism. Excessive optimism sows the seeds of its own reversal in the form of imbalances that tend to grow over time." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23223] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions...?" - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23224] Need Area: Money > Invest
"A protracted decline in margins...is a recipe for recession." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23225] Need Area: Money > Invest
"History counsels us that sharp changes in direction [of the share market] are rarely, if ever, anticipated." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23226] Need Area: Money > Invest
"While home prices do on occasion decline, large declines are rare; the general experience of homeowners is a modest, but persistent rise in home values that is perceived to be largely permanent. This experience contrasts markedly from volatile and often ephemeral gains in stock market wealth." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23227] Need Area: Money > Invest
"When people are exposed to long periods of relative economic tranquillity, they seem inevitably prone to complacency about the future. This is understandable...As the memory of such past events fades, it naturally seems ever less sensible to keep up one’s guard against an adverse event in the future. [which exposes them to greater risk, should there be a reversal.]" - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23228] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...history tells us that sharp reversals in confidence occur abruptly, most often with little advance notice. These reversals can be self-reinforcing processes that can compress sizable adjustments into a very short period. Panic reactions in the [share] market are characterized by dramatic shifts in behavior that are intended to minimize short-term losses. Claims on far-distant future values are discounted to insignificance...this type of behavior has characterized human interaction with little appreciable change over the generations. Whether Dutch tulip bulbs or Russian equities, the market price pattern remains much the same." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23229] Need Area: Money > Invest
"There is no evidence that the business cycle has been repealed. Another recession will doubtless occur someday owing to circumstances that could not be, or at least were not, perceived by policymakers and financial market participants alike." - Alan Greenspan
1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board. - February 26, 1997
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[Quote No.23230] Need Area: Money > Invest
"The history of large swings in investor confidence and equity premiums for rational and other reasons counsels caution in the current context. We have relearned in recent weeks that just as a bull stock market feels unending and secure as an economy and stock market move forward, so it can feel when markets contract that recovery is inconceivable. Both, of course, are wrong. But because of the difficulty imagining a turnabout when such emotions take hold, periods of euphoria or distress tend to feed on themselves. Indeed, if this were not the case, the types of psychologically driven ebbs and flows of economic activity we have observed would be unlikely to exist." - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23231] Need Area: Money > Invest
"I do not say we are in a new era, because I have experienced too many alleged new eras in my lifetime that have come and gone. We are far more likely, instead, to be experiencing a structural shift similar to those that have visited our economy from time to time in the past. These shifts can have profound effects, often overriding conventional economic patterns for a number of years, before those patterns begin to show again over the longer term." - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23232] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Something had to snap. If it didn’t happen in October, it would have happened soon thereafter. The immediate cause of the break was incidental. The market plunge was an accident waiting to happen. [After the steepest one day stock market drop in history that occurred on October 19, 1987...the same month as the 1929 stock crash which is why October is often called Droptober]" - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23233] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Economic systems are not only about numbers, facts, and statistics, but also about people. Systems that don’t take into account human behavior are doomed to failure." - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23234] Need Area: Money > Invest
"If discipline from incurring losses from mistakes were mitigated [by intervention by government regulators] vigilance would be relaxed, the market’s natural adaptive response would be blunted, and the value of decentralized market decisions, as allocators of scarce capital resources, would be reduced." - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23235] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...any attempt to forecast [share market] investor behavior after a correction is probably futile. Once you get a decline started, it’s not clear whether people choose that as a reason to sell or to buy." - Alan Greenspan
(1926 - ) Economist, Co-Founder of premier economic forecasting consultancy, Townsend-Greenspan & Co., and from 1987 until 2006, Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve Board.
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[Quote No.23236] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...significant overpricing of...stocks tends to disappear in a slump like dew when the sun rises." - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23237] Need Area: Money > Invest
"...so much investing is momentum buying...buying without any rational analysis of value but simply because prices are rising...[with the hope of selling it for a profit to a bigger fool, before the supply of fools is reached and/or the market boom becomes a slump]" - Austin Donnelly
(1923 - ) He was an Australian investment advisor with over 40 books and 200 issues of his monthly investment newsletter to his credit. He championed investor concerns and was an expert witness and adviser in successful claims against advisors and fund managers for the recovery of losses due to their failure to disclose material information, including the degree of investment risk, in the products they promoted. He was one of the few advisers to warn of excessive speculation and predict the imminent 1987 stock market crash [The market was a massive 140% above its long-term trend at the time and it later dropped 20% in one day.]
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[Quote No.23238] Need Area: Money > Invest
"Once upon a time there was an emperor with no clothes. For the longest time no one noticed...There have been many naked emperors since. There will be doubtless many more. [regarding spiralling stock prices, unjustified by sustainable earnings, before the 1960’s market collapse]" - Andrew Tobias
Eminent US investment adviser in 1980
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[Quote No.23239] Need Area: Money > Invest
"It is often better to hold [even] the wrong stock at the right time [when the market booms] rather than the right stock at the wrong time [when the market busts]." - Sir Ronald Brierley
(1937 - ), New Zealand Businessman, sometimes called the Warren Buffett of the South Pacific. He founded Brierley Investments Ltd in 1961which he built into a multi-billion-dollar operation.
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